With Iron Man 3 opening later this week, kicking off the real 2013 movie season, I thought I'd look at last year's predictions for the top 5 and pick mine again for this year. Here's how the top 7 sorted out for 2012:
1 The Avengers
2 The Dark Knight Rises
3 The Hunger Games
5 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
6 Twilight: Breaking Dawn 2
7 The Amazing Spider-Man
I picked, in no order:
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
The Dark Knight Rises
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2
The Amazing Spider-Man
And had The Hunger Games as my wild card to knock out The Amazin Spider-Man. I also thought Hobbit, TDKR and Twilight would be in the race for number 1 but The Avengers owned all...TDKR did take number 2, though...even though it was over $175 million behind.
I never saw Skyfall coming. It way over-performed for a Bond film and I think shocked everyone taking over $300m. Good for the Bond franchise, though.
This year there are some biggies, but most of them are sequels. I think I'm looking at these for the top 5, again, in no particular order.
Iron Man 3
Star Trek Into Darkness
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
And I'm back and forth on number 5. I think it'll be either The Hangover Part III or Monsters University. I'm not sure how Hangover will be, 2 was down and I think this could drop out as well but Monsters University...eh. There's usually one good animated film each year and Monsters, Inc did do $289m. Thor: The Dark World could get up there with the bump from The Avengers although Thor did a relatively low $181m. It did outperform Captain America...it could do a lot better this time around with a trailer that's pretty solid.
The next round of films with some potential, IMO, include:
Fast & Furious 6
The Lone Ranger
I think The Wolverine sinks on the poor performance of the first film, while the Fast & Furious films have been doing better with Fast 5 ringing up $209m when they added The Rock, who is back again.
We've also got Man of Steel but unless it's huge and gets good word of mouth, I expect a lot of people to pass. World War Z is coming but that type of movie usually has modest box office, there's a new 300 film and Kick-Ass 2 is coming, but both franchises started kinda low. I guess Ender's Game and The Mortal Instruments could do something, w/ Mortal Instruments trying to cash in on the TWilight and Potter crowd while Percy Jackson also has a sequel, that might not do much.