Can Sith Beat Titanic?

[Diddly]

Gained another $5 million this past weekend, now up to $366 million.

[Nathan]

I guessed $378 mil, and I think even that estimate might be too high. But then again we've still got the second-run theaters.....

It could pass The Passion at $370.7 mil, but sadly I don't think we can beat Spidey 2 at $373.5. Actually I really wanted to beat Spidey 1 at $403.7, but that's nowhere near feasible.

[Darth Broem]

It really depends on just how long theatres keep it.  Back in 99 TPM was at the local theatre for 6 months.  No joke.  It seems to get about a 1 mil per day and then the weekends a bit more.  Of course there are no more big holiday weekends for it.  Oh well I am happy with what it made to be honest. 

[Darth_Anton]

I'm changing my guess to $371. Just dosen't look like it'll make it much longer.

Hey!? They don't let you change your bet in Vagas do they? Your original guess will be counted.

[Nathan]

It really depends on just how long theatres keep it. Back in 99 TPM was at the local theatre for 6 months. No joke. It seems to get about a 1 mil per day and then the weekends a bit more. Of course there are no more big holiday weekends for it.

Yep that's the real issue. At my theater it's already reduced to one small screen. Damned Batman and WOTW.

[Darth Broem]

I have noticed here in the Phoenix area that a lot of theatres still have ROTS at 2 screens.  It may have changed now with WOTW?  I did not check this morning.  However, it was still the case this past 4th of July weekend.  Or so I thought.

[Diddly]

It really depends on just how long theatres keep it. Back in 99 TPM was at the local theatre for 6 months. No joke. It seems to get about a 1 mil per day and then the weekends a bit more. Of course there are no more big holiday weekends for it.

Yep that's the real issue. At my theater it's already reduced to one small screen. Damned Batman and WOTW.

Yeah, same thing here. Knowing my theater, it'll be gone once Fantastic 4 and Charlie and the Chocolate Factory hit town.

[Nathan]

I feel kinda bad for being pleased about this, but ROTS beat The Passion.

1 Titanic Par. $600,788,188 1997
2 Star Wars Fox $460,998,007 1977^
3 Shrek 2 DW $441,226,247 2004
4 E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial Uni. $435,110,554 1982^
5 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace Fox $431,088,301 1999
6 Spider-Man Sony $403,706,375 2002
7 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King NL $377,027,325 2003
8 Spider-Man 2 Sony $373,585,825 2004
9 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $372,222,826 2005
10 The Passion of the Christ NM $370,782,930 2004^

Only $1.36 million to Spidey 2, so maybe #8 is feasible after all! I really don't think it'll make it $377 mil though.

[Darth_Anton]

I think #8 is a no-brainer. Movies in the dying weeks are funny, they can still earn a few mill each week and hang in there. I don't think #7 is too far fetched.

[Darth Broem]

Yeah I think it will make it past #7 barely.

[Scott]

It looks like its about on the same pace as Clones was back in 2002...or close to it.

Projecting out the same length of time means it will make another $31 million which would just beat ROTK and move in to the #7 spot

I guessed right around $379....I might be dang close

[Diddly]

IMDB lists it as #8 now, about $500,000 above Spidey 2. Just $4 million more and it can beat Return of the King.

[Nathan]

w000tz! In yo face, Spidey!

[Nathan]

1 Titanic Par. $600,788,188 1997
2 Star Wars Fox $460,998,007 1977^
3 Shrek 2 DW $441,226,247 2004
4 E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial Uni. $435,110,554 1982^
5 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace Fox $431,088,301 1999
6 Spider-Man Sony $403,706,375 2002
7 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King NL $377,027,325 2003
8 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $376,197,747 2005

Incidentally, it's #56 on the adjusted list and #13 ($802.3 mil) in world grosses.

Against my continuous drumbeat of pronouncements of doom, it's closing in on Return of the King, and #7 is probably a lock (slightly under 1 million to go). But I'm fairly certain it will stall before reaching Spidey 1's $403.7 mil. That's a gap of almost $27 mil, which is way out of reality at this stage.

I'm actually somewhat ambivalent about this. On a cinematic & artistic level I consider ROTK the superior film and want it to have a good ranking. But then again I want ROTS to make it as high on the list as possible and I'm a bigger SW fan than Rings fan.

[Scott]

$377,080,716 just barely passed ROTK