So what Hasbro would do is put one Tonnika in the 3 included figures, and then the second as the third tier, which would de facto be a repaint anyway. Everybody wins?

That is so evil, I can totally see Hasbro doing this.

Imagine if none of them are the Tonnikas!  :'(

This is probably more likely.

I'm hoping the "three unlockable figure tiers" are three more all new figures as well, so we get a total of six.

I don't see how repaints, repacks and resculpts would drive orders.

While I would love for all of the HasLab pack-ins to be Cantina Alien weirdos we don't already have, the way Jayson only called out three of the figures to be "all new" leads me to believe that we're getting a combo of all-new, never made before characters and some new resculpts (hopefully for things like Wuher or Hammerhead and not wasting slots on resculpts that would sell in the basic figure line like Old Ben or Farmboy Luke).

I hope I'm wrong and we're getting 6-8 first time cantina dudes, but I'm way too pessimistic to believe that could happen (even in a HasLab).

Imagine if none of them are the Tonnikas!  :'(

So what Hasbro would do is put one Tonnika in the 3 included figures, and then the second as the third tier, which would de facto be a repaint anyway. Everybody wins?

I'm hoping the "three unlockable figure tiers" are three more all new figures as well, so we get a total of six.

That's how I'm reading it.