I agree with all of you guys. I've had Tampa Bay slated as my pick for this week since about week 4. But for some reason, I've got the heebie-jeebies about it. Mostly because the 49ers are going to start Dorsey, who has much more experience than Alex Smith, and the Bucs are going with Simms, who has very little experience. I guess I just have a nagging feeling that the Bucs could come in flat (this is a team that couldn't score more than 12 against the Testaverde-driven Jets a couple weeks ago), and this one could be a shocker. Plus, I'm sure the vast majority of the other 11 people left are going to go with the Bucs, so an upset would be advantageous.
It sucks because with Houston and SF this year, everyone is basically picking the same teams (whoever plays one of them), and thus you have so many left this deep in the season which, in my experience is unusual. So it seeems like not getting caught in an upset is going to be the way to survive.
Anyway, thanks again, everyone. I'lll probably go with Tampa.