Author Topic: 2021 HasLab - Black Series Rancor  (Read 14730 times)

Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #165 on: December 5, 2021, 12:04 PM »
Rancor Update:
~5460 backers as of 11am CT today
~3540 backers needed to fund the project
~13540 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 1 day, 12 hours (36 hours):
~3540 / 36  = ~98 backers/hr to fund
~13540 / 36 = ~376 backers/hr to unlock all tiers

All numbers above subject to any Hasbro shenanigans, of course... ;)
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Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #166 on: December 5, 2021, 06:02 PM »
~5460 backers as of 11am CT today
~3540 backers needed to fund the project
~13540 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 1 day, 12 hours (36 hours):
~3540 / 36  = ~98 backers/hr to fund
~13540 / 36 = ~376 backers/hr to unlock all tiers

~5525 backers as of 5pm CT today
~3475 backers needed to fund the project
~13475 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 1 days, 6 hours (30 hours):
~3475 / 30  = ~116 backers/hr to fund
~13475 / 30 = ~449 backers/hr to unlock all tiers

All numbers above subject to any Hasbro shenanigans, of course... ;)
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Offline Mister Skeezler

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #167 on: December 5, 2021, 07:47 PM »
Yes, Skystriker was always $230.  I think it's suffering from the "I've already got one" type syndrome. 

I personally think a 3.75" Star Wars Y-Wing HasLab would be very similar.  Lots of folks clamoring for an all-new, modern re-do but plenty of folks who will say "for $230, I am fine with what I have".  I think there is some of that here.  This version of the Skystriker is awesome, but plenty of folks are sitting on multiple versions of this thing already.

To be fair, I think I was the only one really banging that drum.
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Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #168 on: December 6, 2021, 12:09 AM »
Entering the final day!

~5625 backers as of 11pm CT 12/5
~3375 backers needed to fund the project
~13375 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 24 hours:
~3375 / 24  = ~140.6 backers/hr to fund
~13375 / 24 = ~557.3 backers/hr to unlock all tiers

All numbers above subject to any Hasbro shenanigans, of course... ;).   Plenty of folks on social media seem to think Hasbro's gonna drop 4-5k "international retail" orders in at the last minute to push it across the line.
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Online Dave

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #169 on: December 6, 2021, 09:06 AM »
Plenty of folks on social media seem to think Hasbro's gonna drop 4-5k "international retail" orders in at the last minute to push it across the line.

They better drop those "international orders" soon as they're only at 5,722 with 15 hours to go.

Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #170 on: December 6, 2021, 09:22 AM »
~5720 backers as of 8am CT today
~3280 backers needed to fund the project
~13280 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 15 hours:
~3280 / 15  = ~218.7 backers/hr to fund
~13280 / 15 = ~885.3 backers/hr to unlock all tiers

They better drop those "international orders" soon as they're only at 5,722 with 15 hours to go.

Over the last 64 hours, they have averaged 8 backers an hour... all collectors have to do is back this thing at a ~2750% increased pace for the last 15 hours and it's gonna happen!

But again, Hasbro shenanigans (which I am fully expecting) can change everything...
« Last Edit: December 6, 2021, 09:25 AM by Jeff »
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Offline Nicklab

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #171 on: December 6, 2021, 09:31 AM »
I wonder just how hard they're working the phones with the major fan channel outlets and international partners?  Outlets like Zavvi might be their out in order to avoid the embarrassment of this campaign failing.

I haven't backed it.  And I don't see anything swaying my decision in the next 14+ hours.
« Last Edit: December 6, 2021, 09:32 AM by Nicklab »
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Offline JediJman

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #172 on: December 6, 2021, 10:58 AM »
Not trending in the right direction.  They have 5,779 backers as of 10AM CT.  3,221 needed in 13 hours, so 248 per hour to make it happen.
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Offline Rob

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #173 on: December 6, 2021, 10:59 AM »
If Hasbro wanted to use shenanigans to get this thing over the top, they'd be smart to get on it already. 

Offline Matt_Fury

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #174 on: December 6, 2021, 11:00 AM »
This is going to be interesting to watch.
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Offline Mister Skeezler

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #175 on: December 6, 2021, 11:30 AM »
In the background of the Livestream, which X-Wing and U-Wing are those on top of the shelf? They look larger than the cheap ones that were released, but I could be wrong.
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Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #176 on: December 6, 2021, 12:06 PM »
Not trending in the right direction.  They have 5,779 backers as of 10AM CT.  3,221 needed in 13 hours, so 248 per hour to make it happen.

~5820 backers as of 11am CT today
~3180 backers needed to fund the project
~13180 backers needed to unlock all tiers

Ending in 12 hours:
~3180 / 12 = ~265 backers/hr to fund
~13180 / 12 = ~1098 backers/hr to unlock all tiers
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Offline JediJman

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #177 on: December 6, 2021, 12:31 PM »
I swear there is an auto ticker hooked up to the count.  Just clocked it a few times over the last ten minutes:

11:21 - 5834
11:26 - 5839
11:27 - 5840
11:29 - 5842

Its going to have to increase exponentially to make it, but interesting that the count moves up by one every minute or so.

*EDIT*  Not even getting 60 over the course of an hour, but its close...

Time         Count   
11:21   5834   
11:26   5839    +5
11:27   5840     +1
11:29   5842     +2
11:33   5848     +6
11:34   5849     +1
12:09   5876     +27
12:21   5886     +10

« Last Edit: December 6, 2021, 01:23 PM by JediJman »
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Online Jeff

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #178 on: December 6, 2021, 01:41 PM »
*EDIT*  Not even getting 60 over the course of an hour, but its close...

Too bad they need ~5 backers a minute at this point to fund the base-level Rancor.  (or ~22 backers a minute to unlock all the tiers).
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Offline Matt_Fury

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Re: 2021 HasLab Black Series Rancor
« Reply #179 on: December 6, 2021, 01:44 PM »
Closing in on 6,000.  This is getting interesting to watch.
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