If you read the Legacy books you'll find that Boba Fett didn't spend his money on anything either.  Being one of the wealthiest people in the galaxy is just a goal or a target in itself I guess.  Certainly he could buy spare parts and weapons and a better ship, etc.

I'll bet Justin...7.5 over under on Moss TD's for the year, loser buys a beer for the winner next meeting I get to

Deal, though we better meet at a place that has good beer for a change.   

If Randy Moss was on the Vikings again you think he would go for 1500 yards and 12+ TD's??

No I don't because the Vikes are incompetent.  the Pats have the same line, same coach, and same surrounding cast ex. Brady.  He's a big factor, but not the only factor.  Moss was with a horrible team, with a horrible coach and he was banged up in Oakland...that's certainly not the same as where he's at now.  I will be shocked if he doesn't still get at least 10 TDs this year and he still has upside for much more than that even without Brady.  You're obviously not very confident in your estimate or you'd take my bet. 

I'd also bet that someone beats out Owens for the #1 spot this year. 

Right... Coming from someone who has taken plenty of college statistics classes, you simply don't predict an average for a data set when you only know one data point from the set. The error rate is so high that any projection is about as useful as throwing a dart while blindfolded. There is no reason any sane statistician would predict a season based on that. Especially after your QB, last years MVP and nearly the only reason Moss set the recieving TD record last year, goes down for the season. Now you have Cassel coming in, who has been a career backup, in both college and in the NFL. I wouldn't count Moss out completely either. but 1800 yds and 16 TDs is by no menas a reasonable prediction. Cassel isn't Brady, Belichek knows that. I'd expect to see the Pats running the ball more and throwing a bit less. Moss wanted to go to NE specifically becasue of Brady, with Brady out and Cassel in will Moss start to look more like he did in Oakland? That remians to be seen I guess, but you can be assured he won't be repeating what he did last year nor will he be getting 1800 yds and 16 TDs.

You're still missing the point. Limited data sets are used to PROJECT statistics all the time.  Its not a guarantee or even a prediction of performance, just an expanded view of how that data set would be extrapolated.  As someone who has taken many statistics classes, you should know this already. I think you're getting confused by terminology. 

The whole point of the conversation is that you shouldn't assume Moss is a bust just because Brady went down, and Sunday's performance helps show that.  None of us can predict the future, but its too early to say that he will be a flop or not worthy of a first round selection when went for 100+ yards and a TD sans Brady. 

Still haven't heard back from Scott on how he is going to pay me my $100 once Moss scores his 8th TD.   

It is also a horrible logical flaw to say that it projects that he will have 1800 yds and 16 TDs... You can't predict a season based on one game. Based on that logic LT would only have 1500 yds rushing and no TDs, and barring an injury we all know he won't be held out of the endzone and entire year. You need to wait a couple weeks so you can average a couple weeks together to get a better predictor. Should Brady really be out for the year, I highly doubt Moss will hit 1800 yds and 16 TDs.

No, that's what a projection is.  Use the ratio of perfromance per game to date to estimate performance for the remainder of the games and that's what Moss would have.  I'm not saying he'll do exactly that, but the point is that he isn't exactly chopped liver just because Brady is out for the season.  I think its more of a "horrible logical flaw" to say that Moss isn't first round talent and will be a bust this season with no data to back that up versus looking at his week #1 Perfromance. 

60 of those yards were with Brady throwing to him...I bet he'll be close to 1100 and 7 TD's
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And I will bet you $100 dollars that Moss scores more than 7 TD's this year.   

Quote from: JediJman on September  7, 2008, 11:10 PM

I think the biggest surprises of the day were Willie Parker and Micheal Turner. 

The rookie, Forte, didn't surprise you?

Third best RB performance of the day....

Forte surprised me a little, but I drafted him high because I thought he would be this good.  Unfortunately, I let someone talk me out of playing him.   

I'm a little sore that McGahee was supposed to start and didn't get a carry, but yeah, lots going on today!  Lookit how good all the new guys are - K. Smith, M. Turner (New as a starter), Chris Johnson, Tim Hightower, Matt Forte...

Game of the week starts tommorrow at 6:00.  Let's see if AP is the real deal.