It seems to be well below the pace we’re used to.
We are close to two days and at ~1980 backers so far.
Bumping these #s up again since it's relevant... first week, middle weeks, last week on the pst TVC HasLabs
Barge - 1840 (21%), 1920 (22%), 5080 (57%)
Crest - 8990 (32%), 6290 (22%), 12830 (46%)
Ghost - 8770 (40%), 3330 (15%), 9665 (44%)
Cantina - 4800 (33%), 1800 (12%), 8140 (55%)
Every HasLab is different (as you can see above), but using the patented "Jeff HasLab math" that's about 32% in the first week, 18% in the middle weeks ("the lull"), and 50% in the final week.
So, using that as our guide post, it probably needs to hit these numbers by Friday 8/1 (first week) to show signs of successful funding...
2560 backers, will likely hit the 8k backers and fund.
4480 backers, will likely hit all three unlocks.
#mathisfun*
*caveat - we've never seen a TVC HasLab fail, so the math can't handle that idea yet... I still think this one will fund, but may not get all tiers unlocked. Not sure how that will affect the numbers if people start dropping out if they don't get the Jedi tiers...