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Messages - Morgbug

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JD Sports Forum! / Re: JediDefender Fantasy Basketball 2014-15
« on: September 4, 2014, 10:49 PM »
I changed the draft date to the 29th of October from the 22nd, so a week later. 

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JediDefender Fantasy Hockey 2014-15
« on: September 4, 2014, 10:49 PM »
Problem?   :-*

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JediDefender Fantasy Football 2014
« on: September 4, 2014, 10:46 PM »
Well I got curious (and a little bored) so I looked back.  Pretty easy to calculate average draft position so:

Name - number of years in league - average draft position

Where average draft position is just sum of draft position/number of years in league.  I can't go back further than ten years because that's when I started so I dropped those numbers off Rob and Scott's totals:

Hawaiian Curse - 10 years - ADP = 8.4
The Zods - 10 years - ADP = 7.1
Ice Cream Maker Guys - 10 years - ADP = 5.2
What the Deuce? - 8 years - ADP = 8.7
Ruiner's Cornballers - 8 years - ADP = 5.2
Tatooine Banthas - 4 years - ADP = 4.2
Golden Girls - 10 years - ADP = 6.5
The Cranes - 8 years - ADP = 8.4
Winterfell Wolves = 10 years - ADP = 5.3
Ramminators = 7 years - ADP = 6.0
Bullet Club = 5 years - ADP = 7.2
Falcons of the Vale = 3 years - ADP = 3.3
Dressel Rebel - 8 years - ADP = 7.0
Matt - 6 years - ADP = 5.5

I did it by hand so didn't calculate the error but +/- 1 from six is pretty close to normal distribution.  More than 1 away from six is good/bad luck depending on where you're at.  Big losers are Patrick, Jim and myself (and slightly Rob).  Winners are Nick and Cory.  Marin's had an interesting run over the last four years drafting fifth each time. 

Patrick has drafted in the top half three times.
Brent has drafted in the top half only twice.
Jim has drafted in the top half only once.
Rob has four top half picks.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JediDefender Fantasy Football 2014
« on: September 3, 2014, 11:24 PM »
Who's getting all the early picks then?  Pearson????????    >:(

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JediDefender Fantasy Football 2014
« on: September 3, 2014, 10:58 PM »
Hate my running backs.  Even more I hate my draft position.  Football has not been nice to me: my JD drafting record:

2005 - 5
2006 - 11
2007 - 11
2008 - 4
2009 - 8
2010 - 7
2011 - 7
2012 - 9
2013 - 11
2014 - 11

Seriously?  I've been in the top half twice in 10 years.


JD Sports Forum! / Re: More fantasy football 2014
« on: September 3, 2014, 05:57 PM »
Season starts tomorrow.  Get yer picks in.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: More fantasy football 2014
« on: September 1, 2014, 07:13 PM »
Bumping up as a reminder.  Open to all and it really isn't complicated. 

Watto's Junk Yard / Re: Top 5 Hotties
« on: September 1, 2014, 03:28 PM »
Hackgate 2014!

A guy from 4chan apparently hacked into Apple's iCloud and is slowly releasing a bunch of celebrity nudes. Jennifer Lawrence and Kate Upton have been the biggest drops so far and apparently there are many, many more.

It's like looking at a car crash, I know it's bad and I should feel bad but dammit I'm gonna look.

Someone hacked into the Cloud?  Get outta town.  Impossible to believe it could happen.   ::)

Kubricks / Re: Deluxe Series 2 - Hoth
« on: August 27, 2014, 11:54 PM »
I've seen the AT-ST driver as low as $275 on Yahoo Japan, so I guess I would have to say 'no' to your question.
I'd probably actually pay $275 for one.   :-\

Vintage Kenner / Re: History of vinyl cape Jawa
« on: August 27, 2014, 12:30 AM »
Late to reply, but I think I won mine for around $145 somewhere around 2005.  It was quite an auction and I was very fortunate to win it as well but I thought it was a good price.   :)

Vintage Kenner / Re: Toy Tony carded figures.
« on: August 27, 2014, 12:22 AM »
If this guy really committed fraud on this level, possibly for hundreds of thousands of dollars, has anyone filed a complaint with police?  I'm shocked that there isn't some kind of criminal investigation?

All of this underscores why I don't collect carded vintage.  There was no discernible difference between his fakes and the real deal besides the air in the sealed bubble...  And even authentic carded figures are too expensive a risk considering that eventually all those bubbles are coming off of those 35 year old cardbacks someday anyway as the glue ages and fails.

It's why I stopped collecting carded vintage, about half way in.  I have some really nice pieces, no question.  No AFA crap either.  But two brief stories:

I bought a lovely vintage Star Wars carded Gonk Droid.  It came alright, but shortly after the glue let go and I now have a lovely loose Gonk Droid.  I can't even get and AFA-U on it because they didn't open it.  Rob's right, the glue will eventually let loose.  It might be another 30 years, but it might be 30 days. 

As for AFA I have a very good Canadian friend that sent in his toy fair Vader to AFA.  He's an excellent collector and a very big vintage carded collector as well so he's quite aware of grading and quality factors for cards, bubbles, etc.  He was pretty convinced he sent in something that should come back as AFA90 and it came back AFA75.  He is absolutely convinced that AFA switched out his Vader for another.  Now, it's completely and utterly anecdotal and there is precisely zero proof behind the story.  But I know the guy, he's been collecting since he was a kid and that's when the movies first came out.  He's a knowledgeable authority IMO and he thinks he was screwed.  I'm betting he was right. 

I'm not a fan of grading.  I understand the appeal, but it's all a scam to me.  Same thing in comic books.  Yeah, if you're buying an Amazing Fantasy #15, sure, you want it in good shape and you're damn unlikely to read it.  But the modern stuff, like McFarlane's run on his Marvel Spiderman title?  Puhlease, there's probably at least a million of those in circulation.  Crazy idea of adding value where there's nothing really to add. 

JD Sports Forum! / More fantasy football 2014
« on: August 25, 2014, 12:52 AM »
Survival football:

Group ID #292
password: berry


Group ID #532
password: berry

Sorry, I can't sent email invites to last year's members as I wasn't commissioner at that time (I think Mikey signed up the leagues). 

JD Sports Forum! / JediDefender Fantasy Basketball 2014-15
« on: August 25, 2014, 12:49 AM »
Starting later than hockey, but still coming soon - basketball. 

League ID 4488
password: berry

All are welcome to join.

JD Sports Forum! / JediDefender Fantasy Hockey 2014-15
« on: August 25, 2014, 12:47 AM »
Yep, it's closing in on that time again. 

League ID 6932
password berry

Emails went out to last year's members.  All are welcome to join. 

Watto's Junk Yard / Re: A thread about concerts.
« on: August 14, 2014, 10:42 PM »
Robert Cray this Sunday night.  Tom Petty and Steve Winwood on Thursday next week.   :)

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