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Messages - JediJman

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Watto's Junk Yard / Re: Super Hero/Comic Book Movies
« on: September 10, 2008, 09:26 PM »
I would be seriously disapointed to see Cap as anything other than an agile, well muscled caucasion with short blonde hair.  He's been an icon for what, fifty years?  And has looked pretty much exactly the same in every rendition over that time period.  If they want to make Nick Fury the Ultimates version, that's one thing, but I think having "the look" of the character is just as important as being a good actor.  After the spot on rendition of Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark, I can't see Marvel moving away from this trend. 

As for who it should be - I'm sure there are lots of great actors that would fit the look for Thor or Cap.  I know a lot of people don't like him, but I think Casper Van Dien would make a super Cap.  I'd rather see him or some lesser known or unknown actor than someone like a Brad Pitt.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 10, 2008, 09:17 PM »
But if you're basing who to pick up based on who a good deal of other people are picking up, then don't you think those people are finding out from some other site or news report that there is someone valuable on the wire?  And if that's the case, isn't it likely that either you or one of your 11 competitors would also find this news from some other source around the same time or sooner and grab the pickup before you could get to him? 

I'm still not seeing the huge advantage here, but here's something that may help you out.  While it doesn't show pick-ups per se, you can go to the players list and do a ranking on % owned of free agents.  Anyone who is being picked up by gobs of teams should be owned by a fair amount of people, so you can just check the % owned periodically.   ;)

Watto's Junk Yard / Re: The Transformers Live Action Movies
« on: September 10, 2008, 09:00 PM »
(n.) One who, or that which, devastates.

Holy ****   :o

**********SPOILER ALERT************

- Seven construction vehicles merge to form Devastator
- Devastator has lots of upper body strength, like a gorilla
- Not just green, some of the vehicles are red and yellow

* Okay, why Seven instead of six? Based on the size of just Long Haul, this thing is going to be ginormous
* That second comment has me in stitches.  He has lots of upper body strength?  At that size, how could he not?
* Just one more color and he could be a joiner Teletubby.  ::) Way to continuously churn out crap robots for the movies.  Oh how I miss G1...

JD Sports Forum! / Re: NFL Regular Season 2008
« on: September 10, 2008, 08:53 PM »
Look for me at the Vikings game ;D

And we would recognize you how...?  ;)

Watto's Junk Yard / Re: Terminator the Series
« on: September 10, 2008, 01:26 PM »
First season was better than I expected and eagerly awaiting Monday night.

So are you recording this or just avoid watching your Packers on Monday Night Football?

Crap.  Forgot all about this in the excitement of watching my Packers beat the tar out of the Viqueens.  I'll have to catch it online somewhere...

The Original Trilogy / Re: In what thing could IG88 spend his money?
« on: September 10, 2008, 01:24 PM »
If you read the Legacy books you'll find that Boba Fett didn't spend his money on anything either.  Being one of the wealthiest people in the galaxy is just a goal or a target in itself I guess.  Certainly he could buy spare parts and weapons and a better ship, etc.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 10, 2008, 01:20 PM »
No thanks.  Why do you want to see who's being added the most in other leagues anyway? 

A.) Their scoring could be radically different
B.) The general public is likely no better at predicting results than you
C.) Man up

Just watch who I pick up and you'll know who you should have grabbed.   ;D

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 10, 2008, 08:31 AM »
I'll bet Justin...7.5 over under on Moss TD's for the year, loser buys a beer for the winner next meeting I get to

Deal, though we better meet at a place that has good beer for a change.   ;)

JD Sports Forum! / Re: NFL Regular Season 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 06:32 PM »
The Raiders have the talent, they just need to figure out how to win games. (Not that I mind seeing them struggle horribly every year. :))

Amen to that.  Oakland is one team I love to hate.

I hope I don't get stabbed for typing that.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 06:30 PM »
If Randy Moss was on the Vikings again you think he would go for 1500 yards and 12+ TD's??

No I don't because the Vikes are incompetent.  the Pats have the same line, same coach, and same surrounding cast ex. Brady.  He's a big factor, but not the only factor.  Moss was with a horrible team, with a horrible coach and he was banged up in Oakland...that's certainly not the same as where he's at now.  I will be shocked if he doesn't still get at least 10 TDs this year and he still has upside for much more than that even without Brady.  You're obviously not very confident in your estimate or you'd take my bet.  ;)

I'd also bet that someone beats out Owens for the #1 spot this year. 

JD Sports Forum! / Re: NFL Regular Season 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 01:00 PM »
Jay Cutler played really good tonight against the Raiders.  I think they will have a good season.

San Diego may still win the division, but the Broncos could very well be strong contenders for the wildcard.

They pounded the Raiders, but keep in mind that it was just the Raiders.  I'll believe they're for real when they do this to a decent team.

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 12:59 PM »

Right... Coming from someone who has taken plenty of college statistics classes, you simply don't predict an average for a data set when you only know one data point from the set. The error rate is so high that any projection is about as useful as throwing a dart while blindfolded. There is no reason any sane statistician would predict a season based on that. Especially after your QB, last years MVP and nearly the only reason Moss set the recieving TD record last year, goes down for the season. Now you have Cassel coming in, who has been a career backup, in both college and in the NFL. I wouldn't count Moss out completely either. but 1800 yds and 16 TDs is by no menas a reasonable prediction. Cassel isn't Brady, Belichek knows that. I'd expect to see the Pats running the ball more and throwing a bit less. Moss wanted to go to NE specifically becasue of Brady, with Brady out and Cassel in will Moss start to look more like he did in Oakland? That remians to be seen I guess, but you can be assured he won't be repeating what he did last year nor will he be getting 1800 yds and 16 TDs.

You're still missing the point. Limited data sets are used to PROJECT statistics all the time.  Its not a guarantee or even a prediction of performance, just an expanded view of how that data set would be extrapolated.  As someone who has taken many statistics classes, you should know this already. I think you're getting confused by terminology. 

The whole point of the conversation is that you shouldn't assume Moss is a bust just because Brady went down, and Sunday's performance helps show that.  None of us can predict the future, but its too early to say that he will be a flop or not worthy of a first round selection when went for 100+ yards and a TD sans Brady. 

Still haven't heard back from Scott on how he is going to pay me my $100 once Moss scores his 8th TD.   ;D

JD Sports Forum! / Re: NFL Regular Season 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 12:33 AM »
Game of the week starts tommorrow at 6:00.

Wow, what a barn burner so far... 10-6 late in the 3rd...  And I thought that The Bears had quarterback issues going into this season...  Looks like they are not alone with their brethren to the far North...

*EDIT* GreenBay just scored again, 17-6...

24 to 19 and it was a pretty good game in my opinion.  Only crappy part was that Grant didn't get that final block to make it a 59 yard TD run.  Cost me a week #1 game in my other league.   :P

JD Sports Forum! / Re: JD Fantasy Football 2008
« on: September 9, 2008, 12:31 AM »
It is also a horrible logical flaw to say that it projects that he will have 1800 yds and 16 TDs... You can't predict a season based on one game. Based on that logic LT would only have 1500 yds rushing and no TDs, and barring an injury we all know he won't be held out of the endzone and entire year. You need to wait a couple weeks so you can average a couple weeks together to get a better predictor. Should Brady really be out for the year, I highly doubt Moss will hit 1800 yds and 16 TDs.

No, that's what a projection is.  Use the ratio of perfromance per game to date to estimate performance for the remainder of the games and that's what Moss would have.  I'm not saying he'll do exactly that, but the point is that he isn't exactly chopped liver just because Brady is out for the season.  I think its more of a "horrible logical flaw" to say that Moss isn't first round talent and will be a bust this season with no data to back that up versus looking at his week #1 Perfromance.  ;)

60 of those yards were with Brady throwing to him...I bet he'll be close to 1100 and 7 TD's

And I will bet you $100 dollars that Moss scores more than 7 TD's this year.   :o

Announcements / Re: Thanks for 4+ Great Years
« on: September 8, 2008, 06:15 PM »
Wow - the end of an era!  Glad you'll still be hanging around the MN section oh fearless leader and hope you enjoy "retirement."   ;)

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