I still go with the fact that this item was originally planned for the OTC/DVD run.
So, if it would have come out
last year when the rumors first popped up during the late Saga / early OTC stuff, it probably would have been a lot closer to 500.
For whatever reason (probably the RotS Vader hoopla they were expecting/planning), Hasbro decided to hold Vader over until now and as a result there is no way it is #500.
